Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000198 0.000219 0.000242 0.000268 0.000297 0.000329 0.000367
2025-10-05 0.000161 0.000192 0.000228 0.000273 0.000329 0.000396 0.000482
2025-10-12 0.000138 0.000174 0.000218 0.000278 0.000357 0.000457 0.000598
2025-10-19 0.000120 0.000158 0.000207 0.000276 0.000372 0.000503 0.000697
2025-10-26 0.000108 0.000147 0.000200 0.000278 0.000392 0.000556 0.000812
2025-11-02 0.000097 0.000136 0.000191 0.000275 0.000403 0.000594 0.000910
2025-11-09 0.000088 0.000127 0.000184 0.000274 0.000416 0.000638 0.001022
2025-11-16 0.000080 0.000119 0.000176 0.000270 0.000423 0.000671 0.001119
2025-11-23 0.000073 0.000110 0.000167 0.000262 0.000424 0.000694 0.001202
2025-11-30 0.000069 0.000106 0.000165 0.000266 0.000444 0.000751 0.001353
2025-12-07 0.000065 0.000103 0.000164 0.000272 0.000466 0.000815 0.001526
2025-12-14 0.000060 0.000097 0.000157 0.000266 0.000468 0.000842 0.001630
2025-12-21 0.000055 0.000090 0.000148 0.000257 0.000463 0.000856 0.001717
2025-12-28 0.000052 0.000087 0.000147 0.000262 0.000486 0.000930 0.001944
2026-01-04 0.000050 0.000085 0.000146 0.000266 0.000509 0.001006 0.002189
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000081 0.000142 0.000264 0.000518 0.001054 0.002381
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000078 0.000140 0.000267 0.000536 0.001126 0.002641
2026-01-25 0.000042 0.000075 0.000136 0.000263 0.000542 0.001170 0.002841
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000072 0.000132 0.000263 0.000554 0.001228 0.003091
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000068 0.000128 0.000258 0.000557 0.001266 0.003293
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000064 0.000123 0.000251 0.000553 0.001287 0.003453
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000063 0.000122 0.000255 0.000575 0.001377 0.003832
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000062 0.000122 0.000260 0.000600 0.001479 0.004274